“Rifkin’s characters are ruined, desperate creatures, comic and soulful, perpetually in line for a ladle full of redemption.” —Hammer Museum
“Rifkin is what might have happened had Nathanael West lived on and been even more talented . . . . Exquisite.” —Kirkus Reviews
Contemplating
Infinity
By
Alan Rifkin
Astronomers, supernovas and the fate of the universe.
A
MOUNTAINTOP IN CHILE, with five giant ivory domes gazing upward. We’ve
spent a few hours in a control room fiddling with computer images
of stars--focusing the telescope by remote. Now the astronomer is
performing what seems like an ironic ritual. He is going outside to
have a look at the sky.
So we open a door and practically
fall out of the building into Eternity. The night is clear, and the
mountain is so dark I can’t find my own toes--can’t see anything but
the ancient moon and however many zillions of constant stars. “There’s
the Milky Way,” Mark Phillips says at some point, just to say anything.
The view from Earth runs flat across the disc of the galaxy, so a
hundred billion layered suns converge into a band of light that pours
from one horizon to the other. That’s how the Milky Way works.
The great thing about astronomy
is that it dignifies all your dumbest questions. What is going
on out there? If space has a limit, what then? These are first-rate
astronomical questions--astronomers mean to answer these questions. How old is time? How will it end? This concerns people like
Phillips. Phillips studies supernovas, unthinkably violent exploding
stars whose brightness gives a good measure of how close to us they
are or aren’t. By establishing the locations of distant galaxies,
they might possibly serve as surveyor’s marks to the edge of the physical
universe--might, in other words, finally enable scientists to comprehend
the size of all that is.
That the galaxies were flying apart
uniformly in every direction at once Edwin Hubble grasped in the 1920s;
what has eluded people ever since is this expansion’s rate, which, played backward like a newsreel to the Big Bang, would settle
questions about the universe’s size and age. (The size of an expanding
universe gives away its age, and vice versa. The age is the same thing
as the distance, in light-years, to the farthest shores.) The first
so-called Hubble constant was crude: 520 kilometers per second of
expansion rate for objects three and a quarter million light-years
away--a figure that, on rewind, unhappily found the universe to be
younger than the Earth. But a half-century’s refinements have brought
the matter into meaningful debate.
Here things get truly apocalyptic.
Measure such cosmic distances, Einstein promised, whether with supernovas
or anything else that works, and you’ll also detect the degree of
the universe’s curvature in the fourth dimension, a fairly impossible
concept for lay people to grasp, but gravity is the three-dimensional
manifestation of this curve. And to know how much gravity there is
in the universe is to see, in every sense, the future crashing in
through the now. If there’s too little gravity, the universe should
expand inexorably. Space-time proves flat and endless; the stars fizzle
and die. Too much gravity, and the whole thing would ultimately implode--space-time
swallows its tail. The first case implies that existence had a Beginning
(all this expansion had to start somewhere); the second implies it’s
a fluke. Many calculations, coincidentally or not, have pointed toward
stalemate--all the cosmic music suspended between two catastrophes.
One last scenario is that the universe
collapses and re-explodes, ad infinitum, a cycle embedded in eternity.
This idea has its saving Zen. Hubble’s own protégé, Allan Sandage
of Carnegie Observatories--70-ish and volatile, with a Nixon-style
enemies list--insists it’s been proved. This makes Phillips and his
teammates the sticklers: pointing up flaws in old measurements, waiting
for the truth to seem obvious.
“So far,” Phillips says, “we’re
focusing on this issue of whether all supernovas are the same intrinsic
brightness.” There’s special reason to think they are, having to do
with the critical mass required for such stars to explode. But the
data “suggests they’re a little complicated--that some fade out faster
than others.” By systematic search, the team has found 50 supernovas
in three years (pre-search, it was two or three a year), and they’ve
chosen 26 as useful ones to study. As of the night I’m visiting, they’ve
finished their analysis of half. They smell the finish line.
I’m in Chile to see what a typical
night’s labor is like, and because every astronomer in the world seems
to be here. The Atacama Desert has the second driest skies on earth
(Antarctica is No. 1). Also, key parts of the heavens are visible
only from Southern sightlines. There are 25 major telescopes in the
Chilean Andes--if Martians flew over Chile, they would probably wave.
On nearby mountaintops, all the grails of astrophysics are being sought.
Such as, understanding the Great Attractor (an unseen force may be
pulling the galaxies toward it with the gravity of 20,000 trillion
suns). Such as, understanding Dark Matter (something like 90 percent
of the mass of the universe seems to be invisible). The New York
Times has described the level of competition here as a “second
space race.” (In a development worthy of Monty Python, U.S. dominance
was challenged at one point by a colossal European project named the
“Very Large Telescope.”) Recently, some hippies informed Phillips
that the Earth’s “magnetic center” had shifted, abruptly, from the
Himalayas to Santiago, Chile. “Hence,” the story went, “all these
astronomers.”
THE ASSISTANT DIRECTOR of the U.S.-run Cerro Tololo Observatory, Phillips
is gangly and bearded and has a casual way of talking, as though he’s
chewing on a toothpick. His teammate Nick Suntzeff is balding and
mustached and reminds me of Dabney Coleman. He’s writing down the
night’s menu for the telescope, which works like a jukebox: slew to
the chosen quadrant of outer space--hear the ghastly canistered sound
of the 100-ton dome revolving--then dive to the chosen cosmic depth.
There are 600,000 square degrees of sky, and 100,000 galaxies in each
degree. The task is to photograph as many research priorities as possible
before sunrise. A Night in the Life of the Universe.
There’s excitement tonight on two
accounts. Following a recent supernova sighting, the Internet is hopping: Does 1994 D have you on the edge of your seat? what’s your predix
for maximum brightness? what would Sandage’s be?
At his keyboard, Phillips sturdies
himself to the challenge, crunches some figures, types out his reply: maximum brightness is 7 days away.
The European Southern Observatory
at La Silla, 100 miles north, is predicting four days, but Phillips
likes his guess. “Would you say, Nick,” he prompts his partner, “that
our record has been better for the most part than the ESO’s?”
Suntzeff’s response is a mock-serene
“Of course.”
The other exciting email arrives
from San Francisco around 9 o’clock like a rock through a window.
The whole crew stands around in sneakers and pressed Levis and sweatshirts
to read. Space Tether May Be Visible At Dawn! Phillips at first
is properly cynical. “See what it’s like to be an astronomer?”
Hello M Phillips! we have reason
to believe the SEDS-2 space tether may be visible over chile at dawn
tomorrow morning. the tether is a 20 km long polyethylene string 0.8
m in diameter hanging from the second stage of a delta rocket . .
. surprisingly it is quite visible given the right lighting conditions
. . . extremely interested in your observations . . . if nothing else,
it’s quite a spectacular sight . . . up to three full moon diameters
. . . --mike fennel, tether applications
“Mike--up--yours,” Phillips says,
while he composes his real reply, which is a request for details.
The night has taken an unpredictable turn, and the universe feels
wayward, space debris falling where it will.
Over several hours Phillips has
been working with a fidgety momentum, tapping his pencil to a series
of ‘60s CDs. The Kink Kronicles. Twenty Years of Jethro Tull. (Phillips was 16 in ‘68.) The music adds a dorm-room air to what could
be the inside of a submarine. There are track lights with bare bulbs
and transom windows to no place, and Godzilla-movie instrument panels
with masking tape to mark the settings. REALTIME DISPLAY. ARCON DATA
ACQUISITION. TWO DIMENSIONAL PHOTON COUNTER. The CHARGED COUPLED DEVICE
is a video-cam display with 4 billion pixels. The most unromantic
of all traditions in astronomy is that the constellations are displayed
as black spots on a white field--ink splotches, melanoma--because
in the days before LCDs, astronomers got used to looking at photographic
plates, which are negatives. A keystroke can reverse the black stars
to white, but practically no one ever bothers.
The telescope itself--about the
size of a helicopter, perched under the visor of the dome--is a stop
on a tour, baroque hardware: Leonardo meets NASA. Astronomers visit
it mainly to fix a mechanical problem. To get to it, you can take
an elevator, but that means carrying a carful of warm air up the shaft,
which is bad. In the 20-year life of this observatory, as fainter,
farther stars have been studied, image-quality concerns have so intensified
that a little unwanted warmth can ruin everything. “If they had to
build the big dome again,” Phillips says, “they wouldn’t,” because
big buildings invite offices, which attract people, who breathe out
vapor. In its obsession with cold, Cerro Tololo has moved all its
machinery downstairs and will eventually remove the offices entirely.
The building is more valuable as a sheath for the telescope.
Inside the dome everything echoes,
and there are steel maintenance rungs up the walls maybe five stories
high. Once, on a visit, Chile’s minister of the economy asked if he
could climb up--for safety’s sake, Phillips tried undiplomatically
to deny him. He felt an urgent horrified kick from an aide and overruled
himself, and the minister scaled to the top of the tank. There’s this
macho ethic in astronomy--loosely, don’t complain about climbing stepladders
in the dark--and it has combined elements of slapstick and horror.
Astronomers have been crushed to death by revolving domes. Mark Aaronson,
at Kitt’s Peak in Arizona, was one of the 1980s’ brightest astronomers,
and a creature of quick motions. He flung open a door to look at the
sky at precisely the wrong instant: the dome was revolving, and it
crushed him between door and jamb. Sometimes, on instinct, a tired
astronomer tries to balance a moving telescope by holding onto it
with his arms, and it sweeps him up grandly into the sky. He hangs
and screams with no one around, finally choosing to drop, breaking
a leg or maybe two. Ladder injuries are rare--there’s a circus-style
net below the observer’s cage--but at Tololo someone once fell down
the tube of the telescope to its giant mirror on his back like a bug.
It was a 120-foot drop, but at a slope, so he wasn’t badly hurt.
The chair of the telescope rests
on rails that tilt to help the occasional live observer stay level.
The chair also swivels something more than 360 degrees, but with a
limit in each direction. Computer programmers devise cook’s tours
to torture visiting astronomers, who in all the swiveling and tilting
lose their orientation and tip over and abandon their chairs, crawling
for mercy on the bottom of the cage.
Rough, but not so rough you can’t
hear astronomy’s giants laughing at these new guys with their keyboards.
Twenty and 40 years before, astronomy meant straining over eyepieces,
sliding hand paddles for focus, teardrops freezing to lenses in the
drafty domes. Hubble’s pupil Allan Sandage--the aging warrior in the
fate-of-the-universe debate--had his roots in that era. In the Southern
California of bomb tests and postwar hubris (Fritz Zwicky proposed
shooting artillery bursts over Palomar to make the air more transparent),
Sandage was the prodigy in a bomber jacket, widely considered the
greatest astronomer of the century. Later to become a curiosity. “He
always talks about the Mount Wilson dining room,” Suntzeff says, “which
was called the Monastery, because it was all men, and in the old days
they always had to wear ties. So a few years ago, when I was observing
and I heard Sandage would be there, a friend and I arranged to walk
into the dining room wearing coats and ties.” Sandage “appreciated
the joke,” Suntzeff says, but his voice is so gentle you suspect it
was a complex moment.
In Dennis Overbye’s 1991 history, Lonely Hearts of the Cosmos, Sandage comes off as both brilliant
and sentimental, and distracted by an inability to choose his battles.
For nearly 50 years he had been working to rescue Hubble’s soul from
limbo, bringing that unruly expansion constant down from 530 to near
50--implying a universe 20 billion years old, with just the right
gravity to collapse and be reborn in cycles; i.e., to oscillate forever.
The twenty-billion-year heartbeat, it’s been called. A religious child,
Sandage grew up to call the universe a divine miracle. But corrections
by people much younger kept pushing the Hubble number higher, and
the universe back into chaos.
Phillips and Suntzeff keep this
generational conflict tactful, at times practically offering to split
the difference. “The difference between a 50 and a 75,” Suntzeff says--and
then he laughs. “I mean, if astronomy gets something accurate to better
than a factor of two, it’s a tremendous achievement.”
Phillips has pulled out records
of two supernovas tonight, whose rate of fade suggests a Hubble constant
of around 70. “Seventy is like kissing your sister,” he says. “It’s
neither 60 nor 80. But it wouldn’t surprise me if that’s what the
answer is.”
A year before, Sandage himself
passed through Cerro Tololo, and Phillips questioned how precise the
data could have been on a supernova from one of those freezing, teary
nights in 1937. There had been, as Phillips saw it, certain inexactnesses
with photometry back then. Based partly on a re-examination of the
1937 plates, a new Harvard study said the universe was between 9 and
14 billion years old, the youngest and weirdest universe yet. Sandage
was meanwhile re-computing the Hubble constant by measuring galaxies
from the Hubble Space Telescope--rolling the dice and hitting 50 every
time.
Tethers can be used to throw objects from one orbit to another.
electronically conductive tethers can be useful to plasma physics
experiments--mike fennel (tether applications)
Please send me email asap to establish that we have a connection--mike
fennel (tether applications)
GRABBING THIS CHANCE to witness polyethylene-string history, Phillips
doesn’t delay. He sends confirmation. Mike Fennel (Tether Applications)
finds time to respond with projected viewing parameters about ten
seconds later.
At 4 a.m., Suntzeff is watching
the universe slide by, plucking out samples. “Here’s 1992BK,” he says.
(Supernovas take years to fade out completely.) “The supernova went
off in the middle of this galaxy, so I’m setting up now to subtract
the galaxy’s brightness.” He takes a sip of tea, tearing through a
manual for the right lens filter. “The night is clear, so we’ll use
the opportunity to calibrate a lot of images. But the ‘seeing’ isn’t
good”--i.e., there are distortions,shimmerings caused by the wind--“so
we’re not going to look so deep.” (Worst seeing I’ve seen in a
long time is a construction peculiar to astronomy.)
Phillips is stroking his beard,
scrolling through more e-mail about the distance to Supernova 1994D.
(Astronomers share data pretty freely, unless a couple of teams are
in a race to publish something.) “Given 1’ seeing and Tonry’s distance,
plus a good 2048 CCD, we could solve it in three hours, maybe less,”
writes George Jacoby of Kitt’s Peak. “There really isn’t any hurry--the
galaxy isn’t going anywhere.”
Phillips points at the screen.
“Tonry has this idea about ‘mottling,’ where the more distant the
star, the less its light is mottled, so you use that correlation to
approximate the distance.” The technique gives a Hubble value of about
80, which would put Supernova 1994D in a galaxy 13.7 megaparsecs away.
Far away, I keep having to remember,
is long ago. The light from our sun is 8 minutes old when it reaches
Earth. The explosion I’m witnessing now is 40 million years old when
we see it go off. Which puts it all of maybe one 500th of the way
across the universe. Or a 250th, depending on whose Hubble constant
you use. In one 20,000th of that time, at its seismic creep rate along
the North American Plate, the Los Angeles basin will have already
dived off the coast of Alaska. It’s weird to think of Earth and time
as practically eternal, yet never quite. You kneel on a trap door,
praying to a mortal sky. The rock of ages slips away. I’m pretty interested
in this Great Attractor, personally.
Time to check in on Supernova 1987A,
a local favorite. It was the first supernova clearly visible to the
naked eye since 1604--i.e., since four years before the invention
of the telescope. It made the cover of Time. “You can’t see
it very sharply anymore,” says Suntzeff, but the light from the first
explosion still “echoes” in the gases of the galaxy, and it will echo
for 100 years. In first bloom, the event was so bright that observers
wished it were a little farther away. They fashioned masks to shade
the lens, converting the 4-meter telescope to the equivalent of a
4-incher, something from a hobby shop.
The discovery was something of
a feat. At a neighboring facility, observer Ian Shelton was tracking
Halley’s comet through a region of the Garge Magellenic Cloud, our
nearest neighboring galaxy, an opaque sea of dots to you and me but
to Shelton every dot had its place, and the plates looked wrong. He
had the prank victim’s intuition that one fleck didn’t belong. It
was bright enough that he wouldn’t have likely missed it in the past--bright
enough, in fact, to see without a telescope. He worried for a minute
about a lot of ways of cross-checking the plates and reshooting the
plates before it hit him to look over his head. He did, and became
the first person since Johannes Kepler to see a supernova without
the use of an eyepiece.
Phillips’ and Suntzeff’s shares
of glory came later. They keep adding details through the years about
the supernova, extrapolating backward to the star’s history, a form
of stellar autopsy. “I think my strength,” Phillips says, “is playing
with data and seeing things in data, particularly in spectra, that
other people don’t. I’m not a very good physicist.”
Phillips and Suntzeff both consider
themselves workhorses, longshots in a field with too many failed geniuses--a
self-image that in some ways folds neatly into the castaway adventure
they’re on. Among the local staff, Phillips has been nicknamed “Gilligan,”
apparently on account of his looks but maybe through deeper associations
too. Liaison to visiting gringos is a role he relishes. He keeps warning
me, with the trailblazer’s secret pride, about maniacal drivers on
Santiago’s International Highway.
Phillips spent his college years
at UC Santa Cruz, next to Watsonville, where the signs say “Artichoke
Capital of the World,” a terrain so similar to Chile’s that a newcomer
could feel cheated. “My first night here, one the scientists’ wives
said, ‘I’m going to serve you a local delicacy,’ and she put an artichoke
in front of me.”
Suntzeff went to Redwood High near
San Francisco, circa 1970, in the scientific era of moonwalks and
planetary probes. A classmate, he later realized, was Robin Williams:
soccer player, nerd. Suntzeff won prizes in math, but in graduate
school at Stanford came to the cold self-assessment that he might
be ordinary. The Mozarts of math were few. Astronomy and physics,
on the other hand, could be the stuff of Found Poetry: You had to
get out there and fact-gather, give luck something to work with.
Once you’d made the cut as an astronomer
in the United States (reportedly 100 graduates annually compete for
20 jobs), you could do worse than move to Chile. Suntzeff lives in
“The Compound,” a hillside colony of a dozen houses adjacent to the
observatory’s office headquarters in La Serena, a coastal town about
the size of Santa Barbara. The homes are prebuilt elsewhere, and the
lots are braceleted by rocks like the graves of pets, but they have
nice redwood terraces and a view of the Pacific two miles below. Everyone
walks to the office in the morning downhill the way water would flow
from a runny sprinkler. At 10 a.m., the scientists meet for tea in
the reading room. At noon, they go home for lunch. A U.S. astronomer’s
salary in Chile supports a house and family and a housekeeper too,
and a seductive retro culture has developed. Visiting astronomers
are chauffeured to day rooms attended by cooks and maids. The secretaries
dispense marriage-manual wisdom. When Phillips was new to La Serena,
a secretary prevented him from sampling the packets of Boldo tea on
display by the coffeemaker. He asked why. She stiffened one forefinger,
and then drooped it forward, shaking her head.
Since the 1970s, fully 32 of the
U.S. astronomers, Phillips included, have married Chilenas. (Suntzeff’s
wife is Croatian.) Phillips, whose salary as assistant director of
the observatory places him, according to one staffer, “several omegas
above the rest of us,” lives off the compound in a house worth of
a Hollywood producer. He drives home, listening to Jethro Tull and
Cream, past low-rent suburbs, past fields of mango, past train cars
heaped with iron ore that will return across the ocean as Japanese
cars. His wife, Sylvana, is literary and bejeweled, and she lets the
stars have their mystery. The two never talk about astronomy. Their
sons boogie-board during the Chilean summer. It’s like a U.S. suburb,
the 1950s in exile, with science as protectorate.
ON A TYPICAL LIST OF SUPERNOVA FACTS, every item reads like a misprint.
In half a second, the density of a supernova multiplies itself by
a factor of a million. A core the size of Earth collapses supersonically
to the size of New York.
Then it rebounds.
Just the first second’s rush of
escaping neutrinos--subnuclear flecks that pass through our bodies
unseen--carries an energy, Phillips happily points out, “surpassing
that of all the optic light emitted per second in the entire universe.” What Earth’s sun will radiate in its lifetime of ten billion years,
a supernova exceeds a hundred times in the blink of an eye.
Sometimes the blast leaves a corpse--a
black hole a million billion times denser than gold. Or it leaves
a “neutron star” spinning like a teacup. (The revolutions are timed
in milliseconds.) Sometimes a supernova not only blows off its own
material but bulldozes a canal through the rest of its galaxy. Gravity
reclaims the gusher while the galaxy’s still siphoning into it, and
you can see in pictures the stream of interstellar gas and dust bent
back like a shower from a hose. Evolution hardwires us to stroll through
this kind of violence like soccer revelers, compose a little night
music, make ourselves at home. We’re totally, miraculously, insane.
Astronomers aren’t so different
from anyone else. Maybe a little more eclectic. They believe firmly
in the existence of ETs--just by law of averages, given the size of
the universe. They share, along with the sort of people who attend
UFO conventions, the idea that the dinosaur Ice Age was brought about
by meteors. “One asteroid in the last decade actually passed between
the moon’s orbit and the Earth,” Phillips says. “Though people didn’t
realize it until afterward.” (Another near miss was reported the next
month.) “It’s only through the use of spy satellites designed to monitor
nuclear testing that people have started to see how common these things
are.”
“It’s probable that one reached
the Earth near Russia,” Suntzeff says. “There’s an area where all
the trees were blown down and stripped of their branches.”
I ask if any of this makes the
universe seem unfriendly somehow.
Phillips laughs. “I don’t know.
I guess ever since I’ve studied science I’ve come more to understand
that we’re just a tiny part of it all. Things are inevitable, and
it’s neither good nor bad, it’s just what it is. Though it’s certainly
beautiful.”
“What intrigues me,” I say, “is
how we’ve developed this answering capacity to feel the beauty of
it.”
“Even more so for us as astronomers,”
Phillips says, “in that we’re privy to information most people don’t
really have. Most people haven’t seen the Milky Way. Well, we’ve seen
it hundreds of times, and we know exactly what it is. It blows me
away every time I look at a map of the sky. So we have an appreciation
for the complexity and the immensity of the universe that many people
don’t have. I think many people would be frightened by it.”
“And you’re not?” I say.
“The Christians say God has an
overall plan--and men say, ‘All right, in the end it’ll all be cool,
because if we do good works and believe in God we’re all going to
go to heaven.’ And that allows us to face death--as well as other
things that are difficult to understand. Like, why does a child get
leukemia at the age of 5? Personally, I think why this child got leukemia
is there’s a physical explanation for it. Maybe a gamma ray came through
the atmosphere at some time and altered his cells. But I know that’s
a cold way of looking at it. And I’m sure on my deathbed I’ll be as
afraid of dying as anyone else.”
YOU CAN THINK AND THINK about the universe and never get anywhere.
But you can also see it everywhere you look. You can see the universe
crush Robert De Niro into penitent sobs in The Mission. You
can see Louis Armstrong hold the universe together with a note.
Cosmologists, of course, take these
phenomena literally--playing them back a frame at a time, trying to
find the hidden strings. There’s a cockroachlike tenacity to cosmology,
matching the shadow-dance of the universe step for step, holding all
its mysteries to be knowable. And cosmology may be right. The old
sensation of a magical, inscrutable heavens may finally be just a
lie my genes have told to help me sleep. Or it may be a deep awareness
that science is the height of human folly, that you could club the
stars to death and never scratch the consciousness beneath them. Though
you can’t help marveling at science for trying.
For instance--and I’ve stopped
trying to understand this--though the laws of physics and math fall
apart at the level of quantum particles, cosmologists aren’t discouraged,
because it all works out, awfully close anyway, if you theorize that
the universe is woven out of tiny existential loops. (There isn’t
even Nothingness between them--the loops define space.) Or
possibly there are separate, impervious Bubble Universes, one for
each incompatible system of math. And there is the Theory of Inflation,
which says that whole slew of longstanding conundrums are explained
if you add a little wrinkle to the Big Bang--the cosmos just has to
morph disproportionately from virtual nothingness to the size of a
grapefruit in the first 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000th
of a second of existence. Cosmology will work this all out yet.
But there’s not much happening
this second, this night, with the galaxies drifting by and the universe
buoyant, all its balls in the air, like Mary Tyler Moore’s flung hat.
And us scavenging around below, in the weird calm mirth of the freeze-frame,
keeping our spirits up. We decide maybe to drop in on the facility’s
other domes. We bop over dirt lots, dangling our pen lights in blackness
outside. The visiting astronomers are at keyboards, pondering next
moves over blinking cursors.
I shake hands with a guy named
Chris, part of a Harvard study of the southern skies. He’s trying
to see if you can account for the gravity that brought galaxies together
into clusters, and he’s trying to do this without relying on the theory
of Dark Matter--which essentially explains any missing gravity by
giving it a name. “And that doesn’t feel good,” Chris says. He is
young and athletic-looking, and respectful in a way that wipes the
last strains of Classic Rock right out of Phillips’ night. Phillips
warns him: “I used to look like you.”
Soon we’re plodding back to the
4-meter dome, past billions and billions of stars, not even looking
up. At 5 a.m., Infinity is annoying. Phillips looks for any good e-mail,
finds Mike Fennel. Fennel requests Phillips’ help (“as this is a very
low-budget experiment) in relaying tether-viewing coordinates to Allan
Dressler at Las Campanas. I linger at the coffeemaker, weighing a
packet of Boldo tea, then think better of it.
THE VERDICT ON SUPERNOVA 1994D, as dawn approaches, is that it is
still getting brighter. It conforms more with each day to one set
of supernova precursors, and less to certain others--in its small
way, this is influencing the cosmic debate. Three weeks later I’ll
get a summary from Phillips by phone. The supernova, he says, maxed
after four more nights. (The European prediction scored a bulls-eye;
Phillips was three days over.)
In terms of the supernova survey,
the universe is still pretty much a battleground. “If we simply assume
that all supernovas have the same intrinsic luminosity, then we confirm
Sandage’s answer for the Hubble constant: about 53 or 54,” says Phillips.
“But if we factor in our observations that say there’s a relationship
between how fast a supernova fades and what its luminosity is, then
we get a slightly larger value, something in the mid- to high 60s.”
This translates to a 15-billion-light-year universe--a universe younger
than some of its oldest stars. A nonsense universe. The result has
provoked an unhappy letter from Sandage. “It’s not definitive, and
it’s only a 12 percent difference,” Phillips says. “But it’s not in
the 50s, where he likes it.”
The SEDS-2 space tether is a nice
little wonder to behold. We very nearly miss it. We barge outside
at the appointed moment, forgetting penlights and binoculars and stopwatches;
we have to rush back in to fill our pockets with these things. At
last we are perched on the edge of the mountaintop, facing south and
talking low with a few more bodies trotting toward us from the other
domes. The sky is black, and the constellations hold us in their focus.
We settle in.
When it appears at 5:32, it’s so
close and clear it seems phony. “Here it comes--wow,” Phillips says.
It resembles a puppet that’s been shot from a cannon. The head is
a white bulb, and it has a tail as long as the width of the moon and
bent straight down, which seems odd; it whizzes straight toward us
like a line drive--I feel myself digging in to break one way or the
other. Then it’s straight overhead, and now past us, and we’re searching
ourselves for those stopwatches and penlights, beating our coat pockets
like guys on fire.
It takes days to piece together
what happened in half a minute--how the sun, on the brink of rising,
underlit the polyethylene strand. How a collision with space dust
must have clipped off two-thirds of its length. It was explainable
in retrospect, but while I was actually watching the tether, I felt
like anything was possible. I felt nervous and happy-footed at the
same time, and I kept imagining that I could have been beaned. I had
the sensation that there was some instinct of apprehension inside
of me that could take the measure of space the way an animal measures
a leap.
Here at the bottom of the world
or at the end of it, a lot of scientists believe that this sensation
can be expressed in the form of a number. A few, like Allan Sandage,
insist that the number has been found. Within 20 years, Phillips and
Suntzeff assure me, the mystery of the age, size and fate of the universe
will be closed.